Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
4
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers
5
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Dodgers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Dodgers in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 8 H, 1 EDodgers · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Dodgers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Dodgers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ketel Marte grounds out, shortstop Mookie Betts to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
top 9Jordan Lawlar called out on strikes.
top 9Carlos Santana strikes out swinging.
bot 8Freddie Freeman flies out to left fielder Jordan Lawlar.
bot 8Mookie Betts grounds out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to first baseman Carlos Santana.
bot 8Kyle Tucker singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Alex Freeland scores.45
bot 8Shohei Ohtani grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Carlos Santana. Alex Freeland to 3rd.
bot 8Alex Freeland doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Gabriel Moreno 2-4 · Alek Thomas 2-3, 3 RBI
Los Angeles Dodgers
8 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Freeland 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Mookie Betts 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Kyle Tucker 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.