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New York Mets
4
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Angels
3
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Angels
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Angels in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893121
Mets · 7 H, 1 EAngels · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Angels win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Angels win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jorge Soler grounds out, shortstop Ronny Mauricio to first baseman Brett Baty.
bot 9Yoán Moncada strikes out swinging.
bot 9Mike Trout strikes out swinging.
top 9Tyrone Taylor lines out to left fielder Adam Frazier.
top 9Carson Benge grounds out, pitcher Nick Sandlin to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.
top 9Marcus Semien flies out to shortstop Zach Neto.
bot 8Zach Neto grounds out, third baseman Bo Bichette to first baseman Brett Baty.
bot 8Adam Frazier strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Ronny Mauricio 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-4 · Francisco Alvarez 1-4, 1 RBI
Los Angeles Angels
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Jorge Soler 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Mike Trout 1-4 · Nolan Schanuel 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.