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San Diego Padres
4
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Angels
1
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Angels
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Angels in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789221
Padres · 9 H, 0 EAngels · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Angels win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Angels win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Adam Frazier grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Gavin Sheets.
bot 9Logan O'Hoppe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Vaughn Grissom walks. Yoán Moncada to 2nd.
bot 9Oswald Peraza strikes out swinging.
bot 9Yoán Moncada singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
top 9Jackson Merrill flies out sharply to center fielder Mike Trout.
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Freddy Fermin scores. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.41
top 9Ramón Laureano out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mike Trout. Bryce Johnson scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd.31

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Andujar 2-3 · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-4, 2 RBI · Freddy Fermin 1-2
Los Angeles Angels
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Adam Frazier 1-4 · Zach Neto 1-3 · Yoán Moncada 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.