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Seattle Mariners
7
0% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Angels
8
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Angels
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Angels in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 7 H, 1 EAngels · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Angels win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Angels win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Nolan Schanuel out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Adam Frazier scores.78
bot 11Oswald Peraza out on a sacrifice bunt, first baseman Josh Naylor to second baseman Cole Young. Adam Frazier to 3rd. Zach Neto to 2nd.
bot 11Gabe Speier intentionally walks Zach Neto.
top 11Cal Raleigh strikes out swinging.
top 11Luke Raley hit by pitch. J.P. Crawford to 3rd. Leo Rivas to 2nd.
top 11Leo Rivas walks.
top 11Dominic Canzone pops out to third baseman Jeimer Candelario in foul territory.
top 11Cole Young pops out to shortstop Zach Neto.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Josh Naylor 1-5 · Randy Arozarena 1-2, 1 RBI
Los Angeles Angels
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Adam Frazier 3-4, 1 RBI · Jorge Soler 2-4, 2 RBI · Zach Neto 1-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.