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Cleveland Guardians
2
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 9 H, 0 ERoyals · 9 H, 2 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Petey Halpin pops out to third baseman Maikel Garcia in foul territory.
top 9Daniel Schneemann singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 9Patrick Bailey strikes out swinging.
top 9Angel Genao pops out to third baseman Maikel Garcia in foul territory.
bot 8Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
bot 8Tyler Tolbert strikes out swinging.
bot 8Isaac Collins flies out sharply to center fielder Petey Halpin.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.2–3

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Daniel Schneemann 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jo Adell 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · David Fry 2-4
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Vinnie Pasquantino 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Isbel 2-4 · Jac Caglianone 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.