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Seattle Mariners
3
100% — our call
Final
Los Angeles Angels
1
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityLos Angeles Angels
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Angels in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 7 H, 0 EAngels · 1 H, 0 E
0%
Angels win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Angels win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Jorge Soler out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Luke Raley in foul territory. Mike Trout scores.31
bot 10Nolan Schanuel grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor. Mike Trout to 3rd.
top 10Leo Rivas grounds out, third baseman Yoán Moncada to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.
top 10Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Josh Naylor to 2nd.
top 10Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Cole Young scores. Julio Rodríguez scores.30
top 10Brent Suter intentionally walks Julio Rodríguez.
top 10Cal Raleigh pops out to shortstop Zach Neto.
top 10Rob Refsnyder grounds out, pitcher Brent Suter to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 2-5, 2 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-4 · Victor Robles 1-3
Los Angeles Angels
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Oswald Peraza 1-3 · Zach Neto 0-4 · Jorge Soler 0-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.