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Cleveland Guardians
11
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
5
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 14 H, 1 ERoyals · 10 H, 2 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Carter Jensen flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
bot 9Isaac Collins lines out sharply to center fielder Petey Halpin.
bot 9Josh Rojas grounds out, second baseman Angel Genao to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
top 9Patrick Bailey flies out sharply to center fielder John Rave.
top 9Petey Halpin walks. Angel Genao to 3rd. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd.
top 9Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. José Ramírez scores. Jo Adell scores. Angel Genao to 2nd.11–5
top 9Angel Genao walks.
top 9Jo Adell grounds into a force out, second baseman Michael Massey to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. José Ramírez to 3rd. Chase DeLauter out at 2nd. Jo Adell to 1st.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brayan Rocchio 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Patrick Bailey 2-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Chase DeLauter 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 2-4 · Jac Caglianone 2-4, 2 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.