Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
5
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
4
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 10 H, 1 ERoyals · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Nick Loftin called out on strikes.
bot 10Michael Massey flies out to center fielder Tommy Troy. Tyler Tolbert to 3rd.
bot 10Salvador Perez doubles (23) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Tommy Troy. Kyle Isbel scores. Carter Jensen scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.5–4
bot 10Vinnie Pasquantino strikes out swinging.
bot 10Bobby Witt Jr. hit by pitch.
bot 10Carter Jensen doubles (29) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Isaac Collins scores. Kyle Isbel to 3rd.5–1
bot 10Kyle Isbel walks.
top 10Corbin Carroll strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Arenado 2-4, 1 RBI · Ildemaro Vargas 2-4 · Gabriel Moreno 2-5, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 3-5, 3 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 2-4 · Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.