Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
5
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 9 H, 1 ERoyals · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Tyler Tolbert grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 11John Rave strikes out swinging.
bot 11Isaac Collins grounds out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 11Gabriel Moreno flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 11Ketel Marte out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Isaac Collins. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.5–3
top 11Lourdes Gurriel Jr. doubles (9) on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 3rd. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by center fielder Kyle Isbel.4–3
top 11Ryan Waldschmidt out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Anthony Gose to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd.
bot 10Nick Loftin grounds into a force out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to second baseman Ketel Marte. Michael Massey out at 2nd.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tim Tawa 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Lars Nootbaar 2-3 · Tommy Troy 1-3
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
John Rave 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Massey 2-4 · Salvador Perez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.