Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
2
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 9 H, 1 ERoyals · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ketel Marte grounds into a double play, second baseman Michael Massey to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Lars Nootbaar out at 2nd. Ketel Marte out at 1st.
top 9Gabriel Moreno strikes out swinging.
top 9Lars Nootbaar walks. Jordan Lawlar to 2nd.
top 9Jordan Lawlar singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
bot 8Michael Massey grounds out, second baseman Ildemaro Vargas to first baseman Tim Tawa.
bot 8Salvador Perez grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Tim Tawa.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino lines out sharply to center fielder Jordan Lawlar.
top 8Adrian Del Castillo strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Arenado 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jordan Lawlar 2-4 · Tim Tawa 1-4
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bobby Witt Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Carter Jensen 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Collins 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.