Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
4
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 13 H, 0 ERoyals · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Isaac Collins grounds out, third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 9Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
bot 9John Rave grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Kazuma Okamoto grounds out, third baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Nathan Lukes singles on a ground ball to center fielder John Rave.
top 9Alejandro Kirk grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, third baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Michael Massey grounds out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kazuma Okamoto 4-5, 2 RBI · Nathan Lukes 3-5, 1 RBI · Ernie Clement 1-4
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
John Rave 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Salvador Perez 2-4, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.