Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
9
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
2
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 13 H, 0 ERoyals · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nick Loftin flies out to center fielder Brett Bateman.
bot 9Vinnie Pasquantino homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.9–2
bot 9Matthew Lugo strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jac Caglianone grounds out to first baseman Sean Keys.
top 9Ernie Clement lines out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Josh Smith walks.
top 9Kazuma Okamoto called out on strikes.
top 9Alejandro Kirk flies out sharply to left fielder Isaac Collins.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sean Keys 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ernie Clement 2-5, 2 RBI · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-4
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Vinnie Pasquantino 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Salvador Perez 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.