Statball

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Miami Marlins
9
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
6
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 13 H, 0 ERoyals · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nick Loftin grounds out, pitcher Calvin Faucher to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
bot 9Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
bot 9Salvador Perez grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
top 9Griffin Conine strikes out swinging.
top 9Jakob Marsee homers (9) on a line drive to right center field.9–6
top 9Javier Sanoja homers (7) on a line drive to left center field.8–6
top 9Agustín Ramírez lines out to second baseman Michael Massey.
top 9Kyle Stowers grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Stowers 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jakob Marsee 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Salvador Perez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Massey 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.