Statball

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Miami Marlins
6
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 8 H, 1 ERoyals · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Isaac Collins flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
bot 9Josh Rojas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Owen Caissie.
bot 9Nick Loftin homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.6–3
bot 9Vinnie Pasquantino pops out to shortstop Javier Sanoja.
bot 9Salvador Perez grounds out softly, second baseman Jared Serna to first baseman Griffin Conine.
top 9Javier Sanoja lines out to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.
top 9Graham Pauley strikes out swinging.
top 9Brian Navarreto pops out to catcher Carter Jensen in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Graham Pauley 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Kyle Stowers 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 2-4, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Loftin 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carter Jensen 2-4, 1 RBI · Josh Rojas 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.