Statball

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Detroit Tigers
7
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
11
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891411542
Tigers · 10 H, 0 ERoyals · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brett Callahan walks.
top 9Colt Keith lines out sharply to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Eduardo Valencia strikes out swinging.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out to first baseman Colt Keith.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. walks.
bot 8Nick Loftin singles on a line drive to left fielder Ben Malgeri. Kyle Isbel scores. Nick Loftin to 2nd.711
bot 8Kyle Isbel singles on a ground ball to center fielder Max Clark, deflected by second baseman Gleyber Torres. John Rave scores.710
bot 8Carter Jensen flies out to center fielder Max Clark.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Hao-Yu Lee 2-5, 1 RBI · Corey Julks 1-2
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Loftin 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · John Rave 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Salvador Perez 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.