Statball

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Detroit Tigers
1
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 3 H, 0 ERoyals · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brett Callahan strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Zach McKinstry walks.
top 9Dillon Dingler called out on strikes.
top 9Colt Keith grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Jac Caglianone grounds out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
top 8Gleyber Torres grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Hao-Yu Lee 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brett Callahan 1-4 · Dillon Dingler 1-3
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Isbel 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.