Statball

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Chicago Cubs
3
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
6
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 7 H, 0 ERoyals · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
top 9Pedro Ramírez strikes out swinging.
top 9Dansby Swanson pops out to first baseman Jac Caglianone in foul territory.
top 9Michael Conforto doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder John Rave.
bot 8Kyle Isbel grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Josh Rojas grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. John Rave to 3rd.
bot 8Nick Loftin grounds out, pitcher Colin Rea to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8John Rave singles on a fly ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-1 · Tyrone Taylor 1-2
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jac Caglianone 4-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Josh Rojas 1-4, 2 RBI · Isaac Collins 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.