Statball

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Minnesota Twins
4
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 7 H, 0 ERoyals · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Michael Massey strikes out swinging.
bot 9Salvador Perez walks.
top 9Royce Lewis grounds into a force out, third baseman Josh Rojas to second baseman Michael Massey. Luke Keaschall out at 2nd.
top 9Ryan Jeffers flies out to right fielder Nick Loftin.
top 9Luke Keaschall walks. Austin Martin to 2nd.
top 9Austin Martin singles on a ground ball to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.
bot 8Jac Caglianone grounds out, third baseman Brooks Lee to first baseman Victor Caratini.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. grounds out, third baseman Brooks Lee to first baseman Victor Caratini.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Royce Lewis 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brooks Lee 1-4, 2 RBI · Austin Martin 1-2
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bobby Witt Jr. 3-4 · Carter Jensen 1-4 · Josh Rojas 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.