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Chicago Cubs
6
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
4
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789411112
Cubs · 9 H, 0 ERoyals · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
bot 9John Rave strikes out swinging.
bot 9Michael Massey lines out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 9Nico Hoerner pops out to first baseman Jac Caglianone in foul territory.
top 9Michael Busch hit by pitch.
top 9Alex Bregman grounds into a double play, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Jac Caglianone. Seiya Suzuki out at 2nd. Alex Bregman out at 1st.
top 9Seiya Suzuki singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 8Nick Loftin flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pedro Ramírez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Busch 2-3 · Seiya Suzuki 2-5, 2 RBI
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jac Caglianone 2-4 · Tyler Tolbert 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.