Statball

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Minnesota Twins
1
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
2
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 3 H, 0 ERoyals · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Kody Clemens called out on strikes.
top 9Josh Bell grounds out sharply, first baseman Jac Caglianone to pitcher Steven Cruz.
top 9Ryan Jeffers grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. flies out sharply to right fielder Austin Martin.
bot 8Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
bot 8Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
top 8Austin Martin strikes out swinging.
top 8Ryan Kreidler strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 1-4 · Ryan Jeffers 1-4 · Royce Lewis 1-3
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Massey 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Collins 1-3 · Nick Loftin 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.