Statball

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San Francisco Giants
4
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 4 H, 1 ERoyals · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jung Hoo Lee pops out to third baseman Nick Loftin.
top 9Casey Schmitt homers (20) on a fly ball to left field.45
top 9Rafael Devers grounds out, first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino to pitcher Steven Cruz.
top 9Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.
bot 8Starling Marte grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Rafael Devers.
bot 8Isaac Collins pops out to first baseman Rafael Devers in foul territory.
bot 8Michael Massey doubles (18) on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
bot 8Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Casey Schmitt 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jung Hoo Lee 1-4, 1 RBI · Rafael Devers 1-3
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Massey 2-4 · Josh Rojas 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.