Statball

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San Francisco Giants
2
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789212
Giants · 5 H, 0 ERoyals · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Drew Gilbert lines out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Jesus Rodriguez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jung Hoo Lee walks.
top 9Willy Adames strikes out swinging.
bot 8Tyler Tolbert flies out to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
bot 8Nick Loftin flies out to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
bot 8Michael Massey grounds out to first baseman Rafael Devers.
top 8Rafael Devers lines out to left fielder Isaac Collins.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jesus Rodriguez 1-3 · Drew Gilbert 1-4, 1 RBI · Jung Hoo Lee 1-3
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 2-4, 1 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.