Statball

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San Diego Padres
1
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
6
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 6 H, 0 ERoyals · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Miguel Andujar grounds into a double play, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Ty France out at 2nd. Miguel Andujar out at 1st.
top 9Jake Cronenworth pops out to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.
top 9Ty France walks.
bot 8Michael Massey flies out to left fielder Gavin Sheets.
bot 8Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Lane Thomas to 3rd.
bot 8Lane Thomas doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Sheets.
top 8Gavin Sheets strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ty France 2-3 · Jake Cronenworth 2-4
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Lane Thomas 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Salvador Perez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carter Jensen 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.