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San Diego Padres
6
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
7
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 8 H, 2 ERoyals · 13 H, 2 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Carter Jensen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jase Bowen. Michael Massey scores. Nick Loftin scores.67
bot 10Isaac Collins grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France. Salvador Perez scores. Michael Massey to 3rd. Nick Loftin to 2nd.65
bot 10Nick Loftin singles on a soft bunt ground ball to pitcher Kyle Hart. Salvador Perez to 3rd. Michael Massey to 2nd.
bot 10Michael Massey singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jake Cronenworth. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez to 2nd.64
bot 10Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jase Bowen. Vinnie Pasquantino to 3rd.
top 10Manny Machado lines out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 10Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lane Thomas. Sung-Mun Song scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.63
top 10Jackson Merrill grounds out softly to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Andujar 3-4, 1 RBI · Ty France 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 3-5, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Lane Thomas 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carter Jensen 3-5, 2 RBI · Michael Massey 3-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.