Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
2
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 5 H, 0 ERoyals · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Gabriel Rincones Jr. grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
top 9Bryson Stott flies out to center fielder Lane Thomas.
top 9Alec Bohm lines out to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Josh Rojas grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 8Salvador Perez doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Lane Thomas scores.25
bot 8Nick Loftin strikes out swinging.
bot 8Lane Thomas walks.
bot 8Jac Caglianone flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Bryson Stott 2-4 · Gabriel Rincones Jr. 1-3, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-4
Kansas City Royals
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Collins 2-3 · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-3 · Carter Jensen 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.