Statball

← All live games · Kauffman Stadium

Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678931111
Phillies · 12 H, 0 ERoyals · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Starling Marte strikes out swinging.
bot 9Nick Loftin grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 9Jac Caglianone grounds out, pitcher Tim Mayza to shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Alec Bohm grounds out, third baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
top 9Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryce Harper walks. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.
top 9Kyle Schwarber singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kameron Misner.
top 9Trea Turner grounds out, first baseman Jac Caglianone to pitcher Beck Way.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · J.T. Realmuto 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Kansas City Royals
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Tolbert 2-2 · Nick Loftin 1-4, 1 RBI · Starling Marte 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.