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St. Louis Cardinals
12
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
10
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678954324112
Cardinals · 16 H, 1 ERoyals · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Isaac Collins grounds out, pitcher Riley O'Brien to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 9John Rave called out on strikes.
bot 9Kameron Misner out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Riley O'Brien to first baseman Alec Burleson. Michael Massey to 3rd. Lane Thomas to 2nd.
bot 9Michael Massey singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Salvador Perez to 3rd.
bot 9Salvador Perez hit by pitch.
bot 9Jac Caglianone homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.129
top 9Alec Burleson flies out to center fielder Kameron Misner.
top 9Iván Herrera singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kameron Misner.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 3-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Iván Herrera 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Masyn Winn 2-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI
Kansas City Royals
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Jac Caglianone 2-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Carter Jensen 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.