Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
10
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
4
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789622121
Rays · 11 H, 0 ERoyals · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Salvador Perez lines out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
bot 9Michael Massey grounds out, second baseman Ben Williamson to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 9Lane Thomas grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 9Nick Fortes grounds out, pitcher Lucas Erceg to first baseman Salvador Perez.
top 9Taylor Walls flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Ben Williamson grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Salvador Perez.
bot 8Jac Caglianone pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.104

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ryan Vilade 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jonathan Aranda 2-3, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Bobby Witt Jr. 3-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Collins 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.