Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
5
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
6
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 8 H, 1 ERoyals · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9José Fermín grounds into a force out, shortstop Tyler Tolbert to second baseman Michael Massey. Bryan Torres out at 2nd.
top 9Blaze Jordan singles on a line drive to right fielder John Rave. Masyn Winn scores. Nelson Velázquez scores.56
top 9Nelson Velázquez walks.
top 9Masyn Winn doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Lars Nootbaar scores.36
top 9Lars Nootbaar grounds into a force out, second baseman Michael Massey to shortstop Tyler Tolbert. Jordan Walker out at 2nd. Lars Nootbaar to 1st.
top 9Jordan Walker singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Alec Burleson flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 8John Rave walks.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 2-3, 1 RBI · Nathan Church 1-1 · Lars Nootbaar 1-4
Kansas City Royals
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Jac Caglianone 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Isaac Collins 2-4, 2 RBI · Carter Jensen 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.