Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
6
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
14
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 13 H, 1 ERoyals · 17 H, 1 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jimmy Crooks strikes out swinging.
top 9Iván Herrera strikes out swinging.
top 9JJ Wetherholt singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Pedro Pagés grounds out, shortstop Tyler Tolbert to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Isaac Collins flies out to left fielder Bryan Torres.
bot 8Nick Loftin strikes out swinging.
bot 8Carter Jensen pops out to shortstop José Fermín.
bot 8Salvador Perez singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nelson Velázquez. Starling Marte to 3rd.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 3-4 · Masyn Winn 3-5 · Jordan Walker 2-4, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Starling Marte 3-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.