Statball

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Houston Astros
0
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
4
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913
Astros · 5 H, 1 ERoyals · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Joey Loperfido grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
top 9Christian Walker flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Yordan Alvarez grounds out, third baseman Maikel Garcia to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Michael Massey flies out sharply to center fielder Jake Meyers.
bot 8Maikel Garcia singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 8Jac Caglianone strikes out on a foul tip.
top 8Jeremy Peña grounds out, third baseman Maikel Garcia to first baseman Jac Caglianone.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
12 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 50 batters faced over the last two days
Cam Smith 1-3 · Brice Matthews 1-2 · Raynel Delgado 1-3
Kansas City Royals
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 54 batters faced over the last two days
Maikel Garcia 3-4, 3 RBI · Kameron Misner 2-3 · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.