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Houston Astros
8
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
7
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 11 H, 0 ERoyals · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Isaac Collins lines into a double play, shortstop Jeremy Peña to second baseman Jose Altuve. Bobby Witt Jr. out at 2nd.
bot 9Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brice Matthews.
bot 9Carter Jensen pops out to shortstop Jeremy Peña.
top 9Isaac Paredes called out on strikes.
top 9Christian Walker grounds into a force out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to second baseman Nick Loftin. Joey Loperfido scores. Yordan Alvarez out at 2nd. Christian Walker to 1st.87
top 9Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lane Thomas. Joey Loperfido to 3rd.
top 9Jeremy Peña flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Joey Loperfido walks.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
12 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Meyers 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brice Matthews 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jose Altuve 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Kansas City Royals
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Lane Thomas 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 3-5 · Carter Jensen 2-5, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.