Statball

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Houston Astros
10
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
8
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567899153
Astros · 10 H, 0 ERoyals · 13 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Salvador Perez grounds out to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 9Jac Caglianone pops out to shortstop Jeremy Peña.
bot 9Maikel Garcia flies out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
top 9Jake Meyers flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Cam Smith lines out to center fielder Lane Thomas.
top 9Brice Matthews homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.108
top 9Jose Altuve flies out to second baseman Michael Massey.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a ground ball to shortstop Jeremy Peña, deflected by third baseman Isaac Paredes. Michael Massey scores. Isaac Collins to 3rd. Carter Jensen to 2nd.98

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
12 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Yordan Alvarez 3-5, 2 HR, 6 RBI · Brice Matthews 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Walker 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 3-5 · Kameron Misner 2-3, 2 RBI · Michael Massey 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.