Statball

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New York Yankees
7
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
0
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 8 H, 0 ERoyals · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, pitcher Camilo Doval to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Bobby Witt Jr. grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Maikel Garcia grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Ben Rice grounds out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt strikes out swinging.
top 9Austin Wells lines out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Isaac Collins pops out to second baseman José Caballero.
bot 8Michael Massey grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan McMahon 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 2-4, 1 RBI · Ben Rice 2-4, 3 RBI
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Maikel Garcia 2-4 · Salvador Perez 1-3 · Michael Massey 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.