Statball

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New York Yankees
15
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 24 H, 0 ERoyals · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jac Caglianone grounds out softly, pitcher Ryan Yarbrough to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Lane Thomas singles on a ground ball to pitcher Ryan Yarbrough. Carter Jensen to 3rd.
bot 9Carter Jensen doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder José Caballero.
bot 9Isaac Collins grounds out, third baseman Amed Rosario to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Michael Massey flies out to right fielder Max Schuemann.
top 9Trent Grisham flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
top 9Austin Wells singles on a line drive to left fielder Lane Thomas. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.
top 9Anthony Volpe grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Nick Loftin. Jazz Chisholm Jr. out at 2nd. Anthony Volpe to 1st.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Amed Rosario 4-6, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Anthony Volpe 3-6, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Trent Grisham 3-7, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Bobby Witt Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Lane Thomas 2-3 · Carter Jensen 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.