Statball

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Seattle Mariners
0
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789311
Mariners · 4 H, 1 ERoyals · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Julio Rodríguez flies out sharply to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
top 9J.P. Crawford lines out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Colt Emerson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Michael Massey grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Jac Caglianone strikes out swinging.
bot 8Carter Jensen walks.
bot 8Salvador Perez grounds out, third baseman Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 8Jhonny Pereda flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Luke Raley 3-3 · Cole Young 1-3 · Josh Naylor 0-3
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Massey 2-4 · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-4 · Carter Jensen 1-2, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.