Statball

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Seattle Mariners
2
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
0
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Mariners · 5 H, 1 ERoyals · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jac Caglianone lines out to third baseman Colt Emerson.
bot 9Carter Jensen pops out to first baseman Patrick Wisdom in foul territory.
bot 9Salvador Perez lines out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 9Mitch Garver grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Cole Young lines out to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.
top 9Patrick Wisdom pops out to second baseman Michael Massey in foul territory.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino lines out sharply to right fielder Luke Raley.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. lines out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Mitch Garver 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 2-4 · Colt Emerson 1-3
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Maikel Garcia 2-4 · Michael Massey 1-3 · Vinnie Pasquantino 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.