Statball

← All live games · Kauffman Stadium

Boston Red Sox
4
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892212
Sox · 11 H, 1 ERoyals · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Maikel Garcia grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 9Lane Thomas flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
bot 9Carter Jensen strikes out swinging. Starling Marte to 2nd. Passed ball by catcher Carlos Narváez.
bot 9Starling Marte singles on a pop up to right fielder Wilyer Abreu, deflected by first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Jarren Duran out at home, catcher Carter Jensen.
top 9Wilyer Abreu strikes out swinging.
top 9Masataka Yoshida grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Nick Loftin.
top 9Jarren Duran triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Jarren Duran 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Willson Contreras 3-4 · Wilyer Abreu 1-5
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Elias Díaz 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jac Caglianone 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.