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Boston Red Sox
7
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 15 H, 0 ERoyals · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Vinnie Pasquantino strikes out swinging.
bot 9Starling Marte strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jac Caglianone called out on strikes.
top 9Masataka Yoshida grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Starling Marte. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Wilyer Abreu to 2nd.71
top 9Wilyer Abreu singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Ceddanne Rafaela to 2nd.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a fly ball to center fielder Lane Thomas.
top 9Jarren Duran homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Marcelo Mayer scores.61

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Jarren Duran 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Isiah Kiner-Falefa 3-3 · Willson Contreras 2-5, 3 RBI
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Lane Thomas 2-4, 1 RBI · Carter Jensen 1-3 · Starling Marte 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.