Statball

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Detroit Tigers
6
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 9 H, 0 ERoyals · 8 H, 2 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Lane Thomas strikes out swinging.
bot 9Starling Marte called out on strikes.
bot 9Jac Caglianone pops out to third baseman Gage Workman.
top 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
top 9Wenceel Pérez pops out to third baseman Maikel Garcia on the infield fly rule.
top 9Riley Greene walks.
top 9Dillon Dingler doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas.
top 9Colt Keith strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
12 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Gage Workman 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Riley Greene 2-3 · Hao-Yu Lee 1-2, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Maikel Garcia 3-3, 1 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 2-4, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.