Statball

← All live games · Kauffman Stadium

Boston Red Sox
3
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789211
Sox · 9 H, 0 ERoyals · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Isaac Collins grounds out, third baseman Nick Sogard to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 9Jac Caglianone grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Wilyer Abreu lines out to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.
top 9Mickey Gasper grounds out sharply, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Jarren Duran to 2nd.
top 9Jarren Duran walks.
top 9Nick Sogard grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Salvador Perez grounds out, third baseman Nick Sogard to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino strikes out swinging. Bobby Witt Jr. steals (14) 2nd base.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Andruw Monasterio 2-4 · Mickey Gasper 2-5
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Jac Caglianone 2-4, 1 RBI · Michael Massey 1-3 · Kyle Isbel 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.