Statball

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Detroit Tigers
1
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 4 H, 1 ERoyals · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Zach McKinstry strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Torkelson called out on strikes.
top 9Wenceel Pérez grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. grounds out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Maikel Garcia lines out to third baseman Hao-Yu Lee.
top 8Dillon Dingler flies out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 8Riley Greene doubles (12) on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Kevin McGonigle scores.15

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 1-3, 1 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 1-3 · Kerry Carpenter 1-1
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Massey 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carter Jensen 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.