Statball

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Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
4
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 8 H, 1 ERoyals · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Isbel singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Nick Loftin scores.34
bot 9Nick Loftin doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Wenceel Pérez.
bot 9Isaac Collins called out on strikes.
bot 9Jac Caglianone lines out to right fielder Kerry Carpenter.
top 9Colt Keith pops out to third baseman Maikel Garcia.
top 9Kerry Carpenter flies out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 9Zack Short bunt pops out softly to catcher Elias Díaz. Zack Short out on batter interference.
top 9Zach McKinstry doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 3-4 · Wenceel Pérez 2-4, 1 RBI · Zach McKinstry 1-2
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 47 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Isbel 2-4, 2 RBI · Isaac Collins 1-4, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.