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Cleveland Guardians
8
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
5
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 11 H, 0 ERoyals · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jac Caglianone flies out to right fielder Angel Martínez.
bot 9Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
bot 9Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
top 9Petey Halpin flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Bo Naylor singles on a ground ball to second baseman Nick Loftin.
top 9Brayan Rocchio singles on a ground ball to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Travis Bazzana flies out to center fielder Lane Thomas.
bot 8Vinnie Pasquantino strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Naylor 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 2-4 · Chase DeLauter 1-4
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Bobby Witt Jr. 4-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Maikel Garcia 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.