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Cleveland Guardians
3
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 6 H, 0 ERoyals · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to right fielder David Fry.
bot 9Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
top 9Angel Martínez strikes out swinging.
top 9Petey Halpin strikes out swinging.
top 9Austin Hedges singles on a ground ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.
top 9Brayan Rocchio walks.
bot 8Jac Caglianone lines out to right fielder David Fry.
bot 8Bobby Witt Jr. flies out to right fielder David Fry.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 2-4, 2 RBI · Austin Hedges 1-3 · Daniel Schneemann 1-3
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Maikel Garcia 2-3 · Starling Marte 1-2 · Vinnie Pasquantino 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.