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Cleveland Guardians
3
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 4 H, 0 ERoyals · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Daniel Schneemann grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Rhys Hoskins walks.
top 9Kyle Manzardo flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
top 9José Ramírez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jac Caglianone grounds out softly, pitcher Colin Holderman to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
bot 8Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
bot 8Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
top 8Chase DeLauter grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Rhys Hoskins 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Chase DeLauter 1-4 · Daniel Schneemann 1-4
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Collins 3-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Massey 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.