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Cleveland Guardians
2
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
6
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 5 H, 1 ERoyals · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Travis Bazzana grounds out softly, pitcher Alex Lange to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Rhys Hoskins grounds into a double play, third baseman Maikel Garcia to second baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. José Ramírez out at 2nd. Rhys Hoskins out at 1st.
top 9José Ramírez singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
bot 8Nick Loftin pops out to catcher Bo Naylor in foul territory.
bot 8Jac Caglianone grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
bot 8Lane Thomas strikes out swinging.
top 8Daniel Schneemann grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 8Steven Kwan flies out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
David Fry 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Travis Bazzana 1-4 · José Ramírez 1-4
Kansas City Royals
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Jac Caglianone 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.