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Baltimore Orioles
8
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
6
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 11 H, 1 ERoyals · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 9Nick Loftin reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Coby Mayo.
bot 9Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
bot 9Lane Thomas flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Pete Alonso lines out, pitcher Mason Black to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
top 9Dylan Beavers doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lane Thomas. Taylor Ward out at home on the throw, left fielder Lane Thomas to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to catcher Carter Jensen.
top 9Taylor Ward walks.
bot 8Jac Caglianone grounds into a double play, first baseman Pete Alonso to shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso. Michael Massey out at 2nd. Jac Caglianone out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Coby Mayo 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Leody Taveras 2-4, 1 RBI
Kansas City Royals
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Isbel 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.