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Chicago White Sox
6
100% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
5
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 7 H, 1 ERoyals · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Vinnie Pasquantino strikes out swinging.
bot 9Bobby Witt Jr. walks.
bot 9Maikel Garcia flies out to center fielder Luisangel Acuña.
bot 9Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
top 9Lenyn Sosa flies out to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 9Munetaka Murakami called out on strikes.
top 9Chase Meidroth walks.
top 9Miguel Vargas strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Colson Montgomery 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tanner Murray 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Lenyn Sosa 2-5
Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 2-4, 1 RBI · Isaac Collins 2-4, 1 RBI · Jac Caglianone 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.