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Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Final
Kansas City Royals
6
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityKansas City Royals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Royals in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 8 H, 0 ERoyals · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Royals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Royals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Wild pitch by pitcher Ryan Helsley. Maikel Garcia scores.56
bot 9Vinnie Pasquantino strikes out swinging. Maikel Garcia to 3rd. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher Ryan Helsley.
bot 9Maikel Garcia walks.
top 9Taylor Ward pops out to second baseman Michael Massey.
top 9Colton Cowser grounds into a double play, first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Samuel Basallo out at 2nd. Colton Cowser out at 1st.
top 9Samuel Basallo walks.
bot 8Kyle Isbel grounds out, third baseman Weston Wilson to first baseman Coby Mayo.
bot 8Isaac Collins called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Coby Mayo 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-4
Kansas City Royals
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Massey 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Isbel 3-4 · Carter Jensen 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.